TEF
No sé cómo será en otros países, ni el peso que representa España para Telefónica, pero su estrategia en España me parece si más no curiosa: cada tres meses, me sube la cuota con el argumento de que me da unos servicios añadidos (básicamente más GB de datos móviles) que ni he pedido ni voy a usar... y esto en un entorno que sus competidores van a cuchillo.
Investing, creo que no eres el único al que le pasan estas cosas. A mi me sigue costando horrores lo de amputar cuando acumulo un -30% o similar. Y si uno cree que es la que mejor opción, no debería dudarlo... pero es más fácil de decir que de hacer.
ABBV AGN
Si nos creemos que la fusión con Allergan saldrá adelante, entiendo que lo suyo sería comprar acciones de esta, pues el valor implícito es un 10% inferior a lo anunciado. Veamoslo con datos a cierre de mercado del viernes...
ABBV $65.35
AGN $161.02
El acuerdo dice $120 en cash y 0.866 acciones, lo que nos daría 120 +(0.866 x 65.35) =
$176.60
Es decir, que Allergan está cotizando un 9.7% por debajo de lo que debería: $161.02 (real) vs. $176.60 (teórico)
¿Alguno ve algun fallo en mi razonamiento? Porqué la verdad me cuesta entender esta diferencia en una fusión que se da prácticamente por hecha.
NVAX
Parece que Novavax ha entrado en modo "venda de activos y externalización de actividades"...
Novavax and Catalent Announce Closing of Strategic Partnership
http://ir.novavax.com/news-releases/news-release-details/novavax-and-catalent-announce-closing-strategic-partnership
Paragon has now purchased Novavax manufacturing equipment and related assets for approximately $18 million, assumed the property leases to two Novavax product development and manufacturing facilities and hired over 100 of Novavax’ highly qualified manufacturing and quality employees. Concurrently, Novavax entered into a services arrangement with Paragon under which Paragon will provide ongoing process and analytical development and has the opportunity to manufacture GMP materials for Novavax’ clinical trial supplies for NanoFlu™ and ResVax™, among other new projects.
The deal provides Paragon with the resources to accelerate the growth of its gene therapy development and contract manufacturing businesses. For Novavax, the deal significantly reduces its operating costs while preserving its proprietary manufacturing capabilities at Paragon. Projected cost savings from the personnel and lease transfers and the cash infusion from the asset purchases will allow Novavax to conduct a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial for NanoFlu that is scheduled to initiate in the third quarter of 2019.
Externalizando...
Novavax and Catalent Announce Closing of Strategic Partnership
http://ir.novavax.com/news-releases/news-release-details/novavax-and-catalent-announce-closing-strategic-partnership
Paragon has now purchased Novavax manufacturing equipment and related assets for approximately $18 million, assumed the property leases to two Novavax product development and manufacturing facilities and hired over 100 of Novavax’ highly qualified manufacturing and quality employees. Concurrently, Novavax entered into a services arrangement with Paragon under which Paragon will provide ongoing process and analytical development and has the opportunity to manufacture GMP materials for Novavax’ clinical trial supplies for NanoFlu™ and ResVax™, among other new projects.
The deal provides Paragon with the resources to accelerate the growth of its gene therapy development and contract manufacturing businesses. For Novavax, the deal significantly reduces its operating costs while preserving its proprietary manufacturing capabilities at Paragon. Projected cost savings from the personnel and lease transfers and the cash infusion from the asset purchases will allow Novavax to conduct a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial for NanoFlu that is scheduled to initiate in the third quarter of 2019.
CELG
No sé hasta que punto aún tiene sentido fijarse en los earnings, pero good news...
Celgene EPS beats by $0.24, beats on revenue
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3483331-celgene-eps-beats-0_24-beats-revenue
Q2 Non-GAAP EPS of $2.86 beats by $0.24; GAAP EPS of $2.16 beats by $0.05.
Revenue of $4.4B (+15.5% Y/Y) beats by $180M.
Shares +1% PM.
Si es para tratar de dar el "pelotzao" con el 5% de tu cartera, te diría que te la juegues con cualquier valor biotech en fase de ensayos clínicos, suelen ser apuestas absolutamente binarias (o no valen nada o multiplican varias veces el valor de la inversión)... en Rankia tienes un hilo específico en el que se discute sobre estos valores ("chicharros USA").